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  • China's Economy: Incentives and Debt

    Distorted incentive structures in China are encouraging many Chinese corporations to borrow—and increase their unsustainable level of debt—even though investments are not generating sufficient economic value.

  • Divergence, Similarity and Symmetry in Sino-Indian Threat Perceptions

    A close comparison of the security perceptions of Chinese and Indian strategic, scientific, and academic experts reveals that the Sino-Indian security dilemma cannot be simply viewed through the prism of the border anymore.

  • China's Debt Monster: Where Is This Train Going?

    China’s economy can only continue to grow rapidly through ever riskier increases in debt. Eventually, Chinese authorities will either choose to slow growth and curtail investment sharply or they will be forced to do so by their excessive debt.

  • Small Companies Feel the Pain in China

    Rising wages and capital costs are squeezing China's small- and medium-sized enterprises, while administrative attempts to mandate lending through quotas are distorting credit markets.

  • The Myth of China's Unbalanced Growth

    Despite China's low consumption and high investment relative to GDP, key indicators suggest that its growth is not actually unbalanced.

  • China, Russia Ties on Sound Base

    With the bureaucratic infrastructure for solid bilateral relations between China and Russia already in place, the next step is increased dialogue between the countries’ intellectuals, who can examine the relationship from a broader perspective.

  • The Lessons of Lagarde's IMF Coronation

    Although Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa enjoy significantly more power individually nowadays, as a group they still haven't mastered the methods for transforming their newfound economic prowess into global power.

  • Is China Really Rebalancing? No.

    In spite of nominal changes in the value of China’s currency and domestic interest rates and wages, China’s economy remains unbalanced, as real interest rates continue to outpace real wages and any real appreciation of the renminbi.

  • Expand Cities to Stop Dissent

    In order to reduce rural-urban inequality and prevent widespread unrest, China needs to invest its citizens with greater mobility and property rights by reforming its system for household registration.

  • Four Important Bank Reforms for China

    If China is to avoid accumulating unsustainable levels of debt, it must reform its banking system by lowering interest rates, improving corporate governance, ensuring a more predictable regulatory framework, and providing higher quality information to investors.

  • Avoiding U.S.-China Military Rivalry

    If the Chinese and U.S. militaries cannot commit to a cooperative relationship, progress between the two nations on strategic issues will be limited, hostility could grow, and both sides could become more resolute about defending their respective military objectives.

  • China-Latin American Relations: Long-term Boon or Short-term Boom

    • Matt Ferchen
    • January 28, 2011
    • Chinese Journal of International Politics

    China’s domestic development drive has prompted it to develop trade relations with Latin America. While generating positive economic results for both sides in the short-term, the threat of Latin America once again falling into a pattern of export dependency—this time with China—looms large.

  • China's Assertive Behavior—Part One: On "Core Interests"

    Beijing's usage of the term "core interests" to describe its critical national priorities indicates that while China has become increasingly assertive on the global stage, the nature and direction of this assertiveness is still being worked out by Chinese leaders.

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