The U.S. withdrawal from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF) and the expiration of the New START treaty in 2021 threaten to derail decades-long efforts to maintain an effective global arms control regime.
Recent speeches by Vice President Mike Pence and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo reiterated the Trump administration’s China-related grievances. They also, however, revealed a new openness to engaging with China.
The U.S. strike on Qasem Soleimani took the world by surprise. How have news of the attack and other related developments been received in China?
The administration has taken a “wrecking ball” to China policy solely to halt Beijing’s rise and express American grievances. Escaping this negative spiral will require good-faith actions from both countries.
A viable U.S. strategy toward China would include focusing on achieving limited goals, such as securing increased market access and IP protections, rather than trying to force a structural overhaul of the Chinese economy.
As 2019 draws to a close, Haenle and Zhao sat down again to analyze developments involving North Korea, the United States, and China over the past year and discuss Kim Jong-un’s end of year deadline for the United States to change its approach to denuclearization negotiations.
In October 2019, Vice President Mike Pence, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, and Delaware Senator Chris Coons, delivered speeches laying out their respective visions for the U.S.-China relationship. In this episode, Paul Haenle spoke with Robert Daly about American and Chinese reactions to the speeches.
Discussion of U.S.-China-Russia relations often focuses on how American policy is driving Moscow and Beijing closer together. This analysis, however, ignores important factors limiting cooperation between China and Russia and preventing the two countries from forming an alliance.
In Washington, there is no longer widespread support for engagement with China, while in Beijing, debates over the role of the state in the economy, driven by a fear of falling into the middle-income trap, are limiting progress in implementing economic reforms.
President Trump’s use of tariffs has hardened Chinese views and limited Beijing’s ability to make concessions, even if they are in China’s self-interest, without appearing weak.