Douglas H. Paal

Vice President for Studies
Paal previously served as vice chairman of JPMorgan Chase International and as unofficial U.S. representative to Taiwan as director of the American Institute in Taiwan.


PhD, History and East Asian Languages, Harvard University
AM, AB, Chinese Studies and Asian History, Brown University 


Chinese; Japanese


Douglas H. Paal is vice president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. He previously served as vice chairman of JPMorgan Chase International (2006–2008) and was an unofficial U.S. representative to Taiwan as director of the American Institute in Taiwan (2002–2006). He was on the National Security Council staffs of Presidents Reagan and George H. W. Bush between 1986 and 1993 as director of Asian Affairs and then as senior director and special assistant to the president.

Paal held positions in the policy planning staff at the State Department, as a senior analyst for the CIA, and at U.S. embassies in Singapore and Beijing. He has spoken and published frequently on Asian affairs and national security issues.

  • CCTV America July 13, 2016
    RIMPAC 2016 and THAAD Deployment Tension

    An advanced missile defense system, commonly called THAAD, is heading to South Korea, to counter threats from the DPRK. Neighboring China opposes the system.

  • Radio Sputnik January 20, 2016
    Reforms in China Are More Often Articulated Than Actually Brought Into Reality

    China has announced sweeping changes to its military, but there are many challenges ahead regarding the implementation of these reforms.

  • NHK World November 4, 2015
    On the China-Taiwan Summit

    The upcoming summit between China and Taiwan could negatively affect Taiwan’s governing Kuomintang, or Nationalist Party, in next year’s presidential election.

  • CCTV September 27, 2015
    On President Xi’s U.S. Visit

    During his visit to the United States, President Xi conveyed to Chinese audiences that he could handle China’s most important bilateral relationship and reassured U.S. counterparts that Beijing understands contentious issues and will not ignore them.

  • CNBC September 22, 2015
    Will Xi’s State Visit Change U.S.-China Ties?

    What can the global community expect ahead of Chinese President Xi Jinping’s state visit to the United States?

  • NPR’s All Things Considered June 23, 2015
    U.S., China Face Tensions at the 7th Strategic and Economic Dialogue

    Xi Jinping’s upcoming summit visit to the United States in September will be on the minds of political figures throughout the Strategic and Economic Dialogue.

  • CCTV America December 5, 2014
    On the Zhou Yongkang Arrest

    It remains to be seen what Zhou’s arrest means for China’s anti-corruption campaign.

  • Russia Today November 15, 2014
    CrossTalk: World Without West

    As the world pivots to Asia, China has its own plans for this vast region.

  • RT’s Worlds Apart July 10, 2014
    Pivot Off-Balance?

    The U.S. rebalance toward East Asia is an effective strategy to unite diplomacy, economics and trade, and security in a critical and fast-growing region of the world.

  • CCTV America May 16, 2014
    Impact of the U.S. Pivot on the Asia Pacific Region

    The Obama administration’s pivot to Asia has not emboldened America’s regional partners, nor has U.S. reluctance to directly intervene in territorial disputes signaled waning support for U.S. allies.

  • September 19, 2016 Moscow Русский
    The United States and China After Presidential Election in the USA: What's Next?

    The Carnegie Moscow Center hosted a discussion about the strategic future of U.S.-Chinese relations.

  • July 16, 2016 Beijing
    Obama’s China Legacy

    President Barack Obama’s pivot to Asia has been a keystone of his administration, but questions linger over its impact on the region and the U.S.-China relationship.

  • June 21, 2016 Washington, DC 中文
    Taiwan, Trade, and the TPP

    The U.S. and Taiwan business communities have, despite recent downturn in the global marketplace, maintained one of the strongest and most enduring relationships.

  • May 11, 2016 Washington, DC
    Maintaining Momentum in U.S.-China Relations

    C.H. Tung gave his thoughts on maintaining momentum in U.S.-China relations, with special emphasis on the South China Sea.

  • April 20, 2016 Washington, DC 中文
    Fault Lines in a Rising Asia

    At a time when Asia is undergoing truly astounding economic, political, and security changes, the narrative of the region’s seemingly endless rise has predominated. Yet Asia’s economic success remains mired in virtually all of the world’s most pressing security and political problems.

  • March 9, 2016 Beijing
    U.S.-China Relations in 2016: A Critical Year

    While looking to deepen cooperation on global issues of common interest, the United States and China must identify effective approaches to dealing with international security challenges.

  • U.S.-Japan Alliance
    February 10, 2016 Washington, DC 中文 English
    Science and Technology Diplomacy and the U.S.-Japan Alliance

    A diverse group of specialists from Japan and the United States discuss the role of science and technology in twenty-first century diplomacy.

  • February 8, 2016 Washington, DC 中文
    Dissecting Taiwan’s 2016 Election Results

    The domestic implications of Taiwan’s legislative and presidential elections will be important for the region, as China’s slowing economy and Taiwan’s growing resistance to mainland influence continue to play out.

  • October 30, 2015 Washington, DC 中文
    Japan and U.S. Perspectives on Southeast Asia Development

    Seventy years after World War II, Southeast Asia stands at a crossroads amid multilateral trade negotiations, economic integration initiatives, political turmoil, and the establishment of new development institutions and regional governance frameworks.

  • October 27, 2015 Washington, DC 中文
    China’s Economic Rebalance

    Though China’s economy is rebalancing, some experts argue that Beijing waited too long to begin adjustments; debt levels are high and the economy still requires an unsustainably fast growth in credit to maintain high levels of economic activity.


Areas of Expertise

Carnegie-Tsinghua Center for Global Policy
Sohu Internet Plaza 1 Zhongguancun E Rd, Building 9, Suite 402 Haidian District, Beijing 100083 China