Dmitri Trenin

Moscow Center
tel +7 495 935 8904 fax +7 495 935 8906
Trenin, director of the Carnegie Moscow Center, has been with the center since its inception. He also chairs the research council and the Foreign and Security Policy Program.


PhD, Institute of the USA and Canada, Russian Academy of Sciences

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Dmitri Trenin, director of the Carnegie Moscow Center, has been with the center since its inception. He also chairs the research council and the Foreign and Security Policy Program.

He retired from the Russian Army in 1993. From 1993–1997, Trenin held a post as a senior research fellow at the Institute of Europe in Moscow. In 1993, he was a senior research fellow at the NATO Defense College in Rome.

He served in the Soviet and Russian armed forces from 1972 to 1993, including experience working as a liaison officer in the external relations branch of the Group of Soviet Forces (stationed in Potsdam) and as a staff member of the delegation to the U.S.-Soviet nuclear arms talks in Geneva from 1985 to 1991. He also taught at the War Studies Department of the Military Institute from 1986 to 1993.

  • Op-Ed Global Times October 24, 2016
    Russia Sees Potential Win in South China Sea

    What Russia may seek in the long term in Southeast Asia is a position of a respected and seemingly disinterested outside power helping maintain an equilibrium in a potentially highly volatile region.

  • Op-Ed Global Times October 10, 2016
    Russia, China Can Help Kashmir Tensions

    Before India and Pakistan enter the SCO, Russia and China should make an effort to help them prevent future conflicts. Failing to help manage the relationship now carries a serious risk for the entire SCO project started by Beijing and Moscow 15 years ago. So, China and Russia owe it to themselves to begin defusing tensions between their partners.

  • Op-Ed Financial Times October 5, 2016
    The Prospect of a Superpower War in Syria is Hardly Far-Fetched

    So far, Moscow and Washington have proved incapable of ending Syria’s civil war. But a settlement is impossible without them.

  • Commentary September 27, 2016 Русский
    Russia’s Next Move on Ukraine

    The most likely scenario for eastern Ukraine is that a low-level conflict will continue to simmer. Moscow needs to give up its pipe dream that a pro-Russian government will come to power in Kiev, and forget its convenient but misleading stereotypes about its large neighbor.

  • Op-Ed Guardian September 18, 2016 Русский
    Information Is a Potent Weapon in the New Cold War

    Modern western leaders might wish to consider that, in the end, what killed the Soviet system was not Reagan’s Star Wars, or even the scarcity of goods in the shops. What actually did it was the loss of public faith in the domestic political system. So, improve or beware of exposure.

  • Op-Ed Global Times September 8, 2016
    Russia-China Entente Must Move Past Rhetoric

    Chinese and Russians now better understand both the potential and the limitations of their relationship. They need to move ahead on concrete issues, making sure that what is agreed upon at the top actually gets implemented.

  • Russia and Iran: Historic Mistrust and Contemporary Partnership
    Article August 18, 2016 Русский
    Russia and Iran: Historic Mistrust and Contemporary Partnership

    Moscow’s relations with Tehran are currently much more cooperative than competitive, although the two countries’ foreign policy goals don’t always align.

  • Op-Ed Russia Direct August 17, 2016
    The World After Brexit: From Globalization to Fragmentation

    What is the worst and dangerous for Russia is the feeling of self-assured satisfaction and perception that it is a great, powerful and invincible country with unlimited resources. It can lead to another stagnation.

  • Op-Ed Newsweek August 12, 2016 Русский
    Is Russia Safe From Extremist Attacks Like Those in Europe?

    Even as Russia is again engaged in a confrontation with the West, it is confronted by very real threats coming from the south.

  • Commentary August 8, 2016 German
    Russia and NATO Must Communicate Better

    The risk of outright conflict in Europe is higher than it has been for years and the confrontation between Russia and the West shows no sign of ending. To prevent misunderstandings and dangerous incidents, the two sides must improve their methods of communication.

  • Post-Imperium
    Washington July 6, 2011
    Post-Imperium: A Eurasian Story

    Moscow needs to drop the notion of creating an exclusive power center in the post-Soviet space. Like other former European empires, Russia has no choice but to reinvent itself as a global player and as part of a wider community.

  • Moscow: Carnegie Moscow Center July 5, 2011 Русский
    20 Years Without the Berlin Wall: A Breakthrough to Freedom

    Enormous societal and political shifts 20 years ago opened prospects for a new, united Europe. Despite Russia’s role in this peaceful departure from totalitarianism, the country’s course in the subsequent two decades was not so straightforward. While the demolition of the Berlin Wall is no guarantee of success, democratic transformations are a necessary precondition.

  • Dmitri Trenin
    Foreign Affairs November 1, 2010
    Book Review: How Enemies Become Friends: The Sources of Stable Peace

    The rise of major non-Western powers makes the avoidance of traditional geopolitical rivalries a must if one wants a peaceful world order. This is particularly relevant to Euro-Atlantic zone, which is still divided on security issues.

  • Dmitri Trenin
    Book Review September 30, 2010
    Book Review: The Tanks of August

    While an analysis of the military aspects of the 2008 Russian-Georgian conflict is important, it is also necessary to understand the timeline of political events, in Russia and Georgia, that led to the war.

  • Moscow: Carnegie Moscow Center August 28, 2009 Русский
    Solo Voyage

    By pursuing its own distinct foreign policy, Russia is isolating itself from the rest of the world. A continuation of these policies will leave Russia with only weak, opportunistic ties to the global community.

  • On Russia. Perspectives from the Engelsberg Seminar June 5, 2009
    Smart Engagement

    The European Union has little direct governmental influence on Russia, but its indirect societal influence is significant. Ultimately, however, while the EU can help efforts to modernize Russia, there is a need for real reform from inside the country itself.

  • Washington August 29, 2007
    Getting Russia Right

    This book sheds new light on our understanding of contemporary Russia, providing Western audiences with an insider’s explanation of how the country has arrived at its current position and how the United States and Europe can deal with it more productively.

  • The Russian Military
    American Academy Studies in Global Security September 9, 2004
    The Russian Military: Power and Policy

    This book assesses today's Russian military and analyzes its possible future direction.

  • Washington October 29, 2003 Washington, D.C.
    Russia's Restless Frontier: The Chechnya Factor in Post-Soviet Russia

    Trenin and Malashenko examine the implications of the war with Chechnya for Russia's post-Soviet evolution. Considering Chechnya's impact on Russia's military, domestic politics, foreign policy, and ethnic relations, the authors contend that the Chechen factor must be addressed before Russia can continue its development.

  • Washington January 3, 2003 Washington, D.C.
    Ambivalent Neighbors: The EU, NATO and the Price of Membership

    Highly distinguished contributors from both East and West examine the complicated and multi-faceted process of NATO and EU enlargement in the context of the changed global situation since the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001.

  • KCRW’s To the Point August 25, 2015
    The US, Russia, and “Hybrid Warfare”

    A Russian attack on NATO’s eastern member states was never likely. At the same time, the threat of escalation in eastern Ukraine and the potential for more direct Russian and NATO involvement in the fighting there is a clear and present danger.

  • China Radio International’s People In the Know May 8, 2015
    China-Russia Relations

    Xi Jinping’s visit to Russia has high value in the wake of the Ukraine crisis and the West’s response.

  • BBC’s Newshour April 24, 2015
    On the Growing Russia-China Relationship

    The rising relationship between China and Russia is based both on a common resentment toward Washington’s world dominance as well as on shared interests.

  • Carnegie Council for Ethics in International Affairs February 27, 2015
    The United States, Russia, and Ukraine: Report From Moscow

    The confrontation between Russia and the United States that the world experiences today potentially could even be more dangerous than the Cold War, because each side believes that it has a monopoly on truth.

  • WBUR’s Here and Now July 21, 2014
    The Russian View of What Happened to Flight MH17

    With the international investigation of the Malaysian plane crash yet to begin in earnest, the West will base its understanding on evidence supplied mainly by the United States and Russia will see Western actions as punishment not for shooting down the plane, but rather for Moscow’s position on Ukraine.

  • Democracy Now! March 17, 2014
    After Crimea Votes to Secede, How Will United States and Russia Handle Gravest Crisis Since Cold War?

    From the perspective of Putin and his associates, Ukraine is a red line and the West, in the form of NATO, was crossing it.

  • RT’s Worlds Apart March 16, 2014
    Cold Warning?

    A second Cold War is emerging because of the mistakes that were made by both Russia and the West at the end of the first Cold War and during the inter-Cold War period.

  • KCRW’s To the Point March 3, 2014
    What's Next in Ukraine and Syria for the US and Russia?

    Putin interprets the victory of the Maidan in Ukraine as a victory of anti-Russian and pro-Western forces. He is very concerned about the possibility of having an anti-Russian state right on the Russian border.

  • BBC Radio 4 March 1, 2014
    Crimea Crisis “Most Dangerous Moment Since End of Cold War in Europe”

    The crisis in Crimea is the most dangerous moment since the end of the Cold War, with the risk of not only an escalation of tension between Ukraine and Russia, but also between Russia and NATO.

  • NPR’s Morning Edition February 24, 2014
    Developments In Ukraine Complicate Russia’s Strategy

    Moscow needs to play its hands wisely and avoid supporting the separatist movement in Ukraine, which could give Kyiv a pretext to send in troops to restore constitutional order.


Areas of Expertise

Carnegie-Tsinghua Center for Global Policy
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